Blossoms continues to monitor the 'Swine flu' situation and provide updates for clients.  This week's note contains a further update about the forthcoming UK vaccination programme and confirmation of the likely number of vaccine doses required.

Rates of flu-like illness have increased again this week and Margaret Chan, Director-General of the World Health Organisation (WHO), this week confirmed that the predicted 'second wave' of infection has now started (source: WHO).

Health Protection Agency (HPA) modelling gives an estimate of 9,000 new cases in England last week (with a modelling range of 5,000 to 20,000), a near doubling of cases in the last week.  Hospitalisations of people with suspected pandemic flu in England have also increased (218 patients currently hospitalised as of 23rd September) and the vast majority of cases continue to be mild.  The number of deaths related (but not necessarily attributed) to swine flu in England is 70.

In the light of the increase in flu activity, Blossoms suggests that businesses plan for an increase in short-term absence in the coming weeks, perhaps by taking steps to job-share, facilitate remote working or considering cover arrangements.  Health or absence policy regarding attendance at work for those presenting symptoms should be considered.  All professional health advice suggests remaining isolated until 24-hours after symptoms have passed (usually around 5 days).

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